结构调整、政府规模对“科技进步与经济增长”关系的影响——基于中介效应和调节效应的分析  

The Influence of Structure Adjustment and the Size of Government on the Relationship of "Science and Technology Progress-Economic Growth" :Based on Analysis of the Mediation Effect and Regulation Effect

作　　者：孙德梅 王正沛[1] 孙莹莹[1] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2013年第12期26-33,共8页Journal of Statistics and Information

基　　金：黑龙江省教育厅人文社科项目<黑龙江省经济增长质量研究>(12534031);黑龙江省社科基金项目<黑龙江省工业产业集群发展模式及实证研究>(11D091);黑龙江省科技攻关项目<黑龙江省六大产业集群集聚能力评价及发展研究>(GZ11D211)

摘　　要：基于中国1990—2011年相关数据,在验证科技进步对经济增长促进作用的基础上,引入结构调整中介变量和政府规模调节变量,深入剖析结构调整、政府规模与科技进步、经济增长的内在关系,研究表明:结构调整在"科技进步与经济增长"关系中中介效应显著,科技进步可以促进结构优化,加速经济调整和发展;政府规模在"科技进步与经济增长"的关系中调节效应显著,政府规模可以调节"科技进步与经济增长"的关系。Supported by the data from 1990 to 2011 in China, we deeply analyze the structure adjustment and government scale and technology progress and economic growth intrinsic dynamic relationship, and get the following conclusions, structural adjustment in the relation between ＂scientific and technological progress, economic growth＂ intermediary effect significantly, and it can promote structural optimization and accelerate economic development. The size of government in the relation between ＂scientific and technological progress, economic growth＂ in regulating effect significantly, which can be adjusted by the size of government scientific and technological progress to economic growth, and proper cutting government scale can expand scientific and technological progress to promote economic growth.

关 键 词：科技进步 结构优化 经济增长 中介效应 调节效应 

分 类 号：F124.3[经济管理—世界经济]