食品价格上涨对中国居民主观幸福感的影响  

The Effect of Food Price Inflation on China's Residents' Subjective Well-being

作　　者：苏梽芳[1] 王海成[2] 郭敏[2] 

机构地区：[1]华侨大学经济与金融学院 [2]中国社会科学院研究生院

出　　处：《中国人口科学》2013年第6期59-70,127,共12页Chinese Journal of Population Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目"食品价格上涨对城镇居民消费行为的影响与政策选择研究"(项目编号:71273096)的阶段性研究成果

摘　　要：文章基于2008年中国综合社会调查数据,应用半参排序Probit模型实证检验食品价格上涨对中国居民主观幸福感的影响。研究发现,在控制了社会人口、经济和情形性因素之后,食品价格上涨对居民主观幸福感存在显著的负向影响。分组检验还发现,食品价格上涨对农村户籍和家庭收入水平较低的居民幸福感影响更大;由于家庭仍然是抵御通胀风险冲击以平滑消费的重要来源,生活费用分担人数越少,食品价格上涨对幸福感影响越大;相对就业不稳定的人群,就业稳定者因为未来预期收入不确定性较小而幸福感受食品价格上涨影响更小。文章认为政府应该稳定食品价格,统筹推进"菜篮子"工程,加大对弱势群体的食品价格补贴,以增强居民抗食品通胀风险的能力。Based on the CGSS(2008) data and by using semi-parametric estimation Ordered Probit model,this paper measures the impact of food price inflation on China's residents' subjective well-being.The empirical results show that after controlling socio-demographic,economic and circumstance factors,food price inflation has a significant negative influence on people's subjective well-being.Furthermore,group test finds that the increase of food price does more harm to rural residents and lower income families;the family is still a viable shelter to fend off inflation risk and remain smooth consumption,and the fewer family members shareing the living cost,the lower of residents' subject well-being;people with stable jobs are much happier than people with unstable jobs because of less uncertainty for the former about the expected future income.Overall,the study indicates that stabilizing food prices,promoting the shopping basket program,and increasing the food price subsidies for disadvantaged groups enhance people' s capacity to oppose food price inflation.

关 键 词：食品价格 主观幸福感 排序Probit模型 半参估计 

分 类 号：F726[经济管理—产业经济] D669.3[政治法律—政治学]