辽宁省产业结构与就业结构协调关系研究  

Empirical Research on Coordination between Industrial Structure and Employment Structure in Liaoning,China

作　　者：张抗私[1] 高东方[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北财经大学经济学院

出　　处：《中国人口科学》2013年第6期80-90,128,共11页Chinese Journal of Population Science

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目"经济增长中的产业结构与就业结构研究"(批准号:11JJD790052)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：文章利用“结构偏离度”和“协调系数”指标测度了改革开放以来1978－2011年辽宁省三次产业结构与就业结构之间的协调程度。研究发现，辽宁省第二、三产业结构偏离度，三次产业结构和就业结构协调系数与常规经验研究大相径庭，主要归因于改革开放以来国家经济运行制度的变迁和中央政府对于东北老工业基地特有的产业政策。文章利用Moore值和灰色关联分析方法测算出辽宁省就业结构滞后产业结构的时间约为4年。在遵循国家产业政策和发挥重工业化大省特殊作用的前提下，文章对如何使产业结构和就业结构更好地协调提出了政策建议。This paper uses structure deviation and coordinate coefficient to measure the coordinated degree between the tertiary industry structure and employment structure from 1978 to 2011 in Liaoning Province.The research finds that Liaoning's secondary and tertiary industry structure deviations and the coordinated degree between the tertiary industry structure and employment structure are very different from the conventional empirical studies,which should be mainly attributed to the change of national economic institutions and the typical industrial policy to northeast China old industrial base by the central government since the opening reform.Using Moore value and grey association analysis method,this study finds that the employment structure lags behind the industrial structure by four years.In the context of abiding by China's industrial policy and exerting the special role of heavy industry province,the paper provides policy suggestions about better coordination between industrial structure and employment structure.

关 键 词：产业结构 就业结构 协调系数 灰色关联 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] F249.27