基于二元语义的突发水污染事件应急协同决策研究  

Emergency synergistic decision for sudden water pollution accidents based on binary linguistics

作　　者：吴凤平[1] 朱晓娜[1] 程铁军[1] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学商学院,江苏南京211100

出　　处：《水利经济》2013年第6期30-34,68,共6页Journal of Economics of Water Resources

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41271537);国家社会科学基金重大项目(12&ZD214)

摘　　要：针对突发水污染事件应急管理与决策中多主体、多因素、多尺度、多变性的特点,提出基于二元语义的突发水污染事件应急协同决策。建立突发水污染事件应急多主体的协同决策矩阵,针对突发水污染事件发生时决策主体的不确定性以及模糊性问题,引入二元语义来表示决策者的判断信息,构建基于二元语义的突发水污染事件应急协同决策模型。最终通过对沿海开发中可能爆发的突发水污染事件进行实证分析,从而验证了模型的可行性与有效性。With respect to the characteristics of emergency management and decision for sudden water pollution accidents,that is,multi-agent,multi-factor, multi-scale and polytropism,an emergency synergistic decision based on binary linguistics for sudden water pollution accidents is proposed. The synergistic decision matrixes for sudden water pollution accidents with emergency multi-agent are established. Aimed at the problem of uncertainty and fuzziness of decision agent,an emergency synergistic decision model based on binary linguistics is put forward by using the binary linguistics to describe the judgment information of decision makers. Finally,a case study with possible emergency water pollution in coastal development is analyzed to verify the feasibility and validity of the proposed model.

关 键 词：二元语义 协同决策 应急管理 突发水污染事件 

分 类 号：C934[经济管理—管理学]