广西金融发展与经济增长的VAR系统实证研究  

An Empirical Research on VAR System of Financial Development and Economic Growth in Guangxi Province

作　　者：罗力强[1] 李彦[2] 李俊强[3] 

机构地区：[1]广西大学行健文理学院,广西南宁530005 [2]广西财经学院金融与保险学院,广西南宁530003 [3]南宁职业技术学院商学院,广西南宁530008

出　　处：《西安石油大学学报（社会科学版）》2013年第6期11-19,40,共10页Journal of Xi’an Shiyou University:Social Science Edition

基　　金：广西大学行健文理学院科研基金项目(2012RSLX10);广西壮族自治区教育厅科研资助项目(201012MS243)

摘　　要：利用广西1982—2011年的经济数据研究广西金融发展与经济的关系。结果显示:广西金融发展与金融机构贷款余额的相关性较大,而与金融相关率和金融机构存款余额的相关性较弱。但广西的GDP相对金融相关率、金融机构存款余额和贷款余额的变化只有微弱的影响。同时金融机构贷款余额、存款余额和金融相关率的变化都是GDP变化的格兰杰原因,但反之却都不成立。以上研究对于制定广西"十二五"时期经济发展目标具有重要的指导意义。The relationship between regional financial development and economic growth of Guangxi prov- ince is studied based on the economic data of 1982 -2011 in Guangxi. The results show that Guangxi financial development has closer relevance to the loan balance of financial institution, but has less relevance to the fi- nance correlation rate and the deposit balance of financial institutions. However, Guangxi GDP is slightly influ- enced compared with the changes of finance rate, deposit and loan balance of financial institutions. Mean- while, finance rate, deposit and loan balance of financial institutions are all the Granger reasons of GDP varia- tion, but the opposite is not reasonable. The above study is of instructive significance in the establishment of e- conomic development goals during the period of 12th five -year plan in Guangxi province.

关 键 词：金融发展 经济增长 金融相关率 VAR模型 VEC模型 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]