我国典型旅游城市经济脆弱性及障碍因素分析  

Analysis of Economic Vulnerability and Obstacle Factors of Typical Tourism Cities in China

作　　者：苏飞[1] 储毓婷 张平宇[2] 

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学旅游与城市管理学院,中国浙江杭州310018 [2]中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所,中国吉林长春130102

出　　处：《经济地理》2013年第12期189-194,共6页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41071108);2013年度浙江省民政政策理论研究规划课题(ZMYB201316);浙江工商大学第四届青年人才基金项目(QY13-13;QY13-21)

摘　　要：运用集对分析法从经济敏感性和应对能力对我国15个典型旅游城市的经济系统脆弱性进行测度。研究表明:各旅游城市经济系统普遍具有较高的应对能力,但系统敏感性差别较大,其中,武汉和济南由于经济敏感性较低,应对能力较高,表现为低脆弱性;厦门和广州因经济敏感性高、应对能力较低而处于高脆弱性等级。障碍因素分析表明,客源市场集中度、旅游外汇收入占旅游总收入比重、旅游总收入占GDP比重等敏感性因子,地方财政自给率、产业结构多样化指数等应对能力因子是影响各旅游城市经济脆弱性的关键因素。This paper establishes a vulnerability assessment model from the aspects of sensitivity and responding capacity by using the set pair analysis （SPA） to evaluate the economic vulnerability of 15 typical tourism cities in China. The results show that the typical tourism cities generally have higher coping capacities, but their sensitivities are very different. The economic vulnerability of Wuhan and Jinan are low because of their low sensitivity and higher responding capacity, while Shenzhen and Guangzhou are the most vulnerable cities because of their high sensitivity and low responding capacity. According to the factor analysis of obstacle degree, the indicators of sensitivity including proportion of total tourism income to GDP, proportion of foreign exchange earnings to the total tourism income and tourism market concentration, and the indicators of responding capacity including self-sufficiency rate of local finance and diversity index of industrial structure are the main obstacles to reduce the economic vulnerability of typical tourism cities in China.

关 键 词：旅游城市 经济系统 脆弱性评价 障碍度 集对分析 

分 类 号：F590[经济管理—旅游管理]