德尔斐法在江苏省风电行业气象服务效益评估中的应用  

Application on Delphi method to benefit evaluation for meteorological service of the wind power industry in Jiangsu province

作　　者：丁雪松 胡程达[2] 孙佳丽 王瑞 卢鹏 

机构地区：[1]江苏省气候中心,南京210008 [2]河南省气象科学研究所,郑州450005

出　　处：《气象研究与应用》2013年第4期35-37,41,共4页Journal of Meteorological Research and Application

摘　　要：利用德尔斐法和对比分析法,选取江苏龙源风力发电有限公司为典型调查单位,对江苏风电行业气象服务效益进行实际评估,结果表明,德尔斐法简单易行、便于操作;在风电运营的各环节中,风电生产环节对气象服务需求较高,尤以生产维护、防大风、雷暴等灾害性天气最为明显。Based on the Delphi method and comparative analysis, realistic assessment of meteorological services effectiveness in Jiangsu was done by selecting Jiangsu Longyuan Wind Power Co., Ltd. as a typical unit of wind power industry. The results show that the Delphi method is simple, easy to operate; In various aspects of the wind power operators, wind power production processes higher demand for meteorological services, especially in the production maintenance , anti-wind , thunderstorms and other disaster weather.

关 键 词：德尔斐法 风电 效益评估 

分 类 号：P49[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]