中国工业碳排放与经济增长的关系研究——基于STIRPAT模型  

The Study on the Relationship between Chinese Industrial Carbon Emission and Economic Growth——Based on STIRPAT Model

作　　者：吴英姿[1] 都红雯[1] 闻岳春[2] 

机构地区：[1]杭州电子科技大学经济学院,浙江杭州310018 [2]同济大学经济与管理学院,上海200092

出　　处：《华东经济管理》2014年第1期47-50,共4页East China Economic Management

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目(11&ZD139);教育部人文社科研究规划项目(10YJA790196)

摘　　要：文章基于改进的STIRPAT模型,以1995-2010年按碳排放特征分组的中国工业面板数据为样本,实证研究了我国工业碳排放与经济增长关系及其主要影响因素。研究结果表明:中国碳排放与经济增长关系具有U型曲线特征,拐点处的经济产出高排放强度行业低于低排放强度行业。资本存量对工业碳排放的正向影响作用大于劳动力总量,科研投入有利于高排放强度行业减排,化石能源结构调整不能促进工业减排。A stochastic impacts by regression on population affluence and technology（STIRPAT）model is proposed to investigate the economic development impacts on CO2 emission and its main factors on the basis of Chinese industrial panel data grouped by the characteristics of carbon emission from 1995 to 2010.It shows that the relation curve of China＇s industrial carbon emission and the economic output behaves U-shaped,and the turning point of high emission intensity industry has less economic output than that of low emission intensity industry.The capital stock has a greater positive effect on carbon emission than that of labor.The investment on scientific research is conducive to the carbon reduction of high emission intensity industry,and the adjustment of fossil energy consumption structure cannot promote the carbon emission reduction of industry.

关 键 词：STIRPAT模型 碳排放 经济增长 影响因素 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]