欠发达地区承接产业转移生成机理的模型构建  

Model Construction of Realizing Mechanization on Industrial Transfer Acceptance of Developing Regions

作　　者：罗哲[1] 张新起[2] 

机构地区：[1]甘肃省社会科学院 [2]兰州大学经济学院

出　　处：《新疆社会科学》2013年第6期31-37,169,共7页Social Sciences in Xinjiang

基　　金：国家社科基金西部项目"西部地区承接产业转移与结构优化升级研究"(11XJY006)的阶段性研究成果;2012年度甘肃省科技厅软科学项目资助

摘　　要：文章从产业转移的动力和阻力因素入手,分析了空间状态下产业转移的实现机理,基于空间异质性假定,构建了欠发达地区承接产业转移机理的模型。模型表明:一是预期收入差异,差异越大,产业转移出的可能性越大;二是新集聚区和产业转出区居民的收入差异将由产业转出区转移人口在新集聚区就业的风险决定;三是从原产业集聚区转出的厂商数量与新集聚区进入的厂商数量相等。According driving forces and obstacles of industrial transfer,the paper analyzed the realizing mechanization of the industrial transfer under space state.Based on the assumption of differentia of space,the author built a model of realizing mechanization of industrial transfer acceptance of developing regions.The model shows that,first,more differentia of forecasting profits matches with more possibility of industrial explantation;secondly,the income differentia of residents in new industry clusters regions and explantation regions will be determined by the employment risk of people who migrate to the industrial acceptance region;thirdly,the number of manufacturer which shift out should equal with numbers of manufacturer which shift in the industry clusters zone.

关 键 词：欠发达地区 产业转移 生成机理 产业集聚区 

分 类 号：F120.3[经济管理—世界经济]