外商直接投资对我国就业影响的动态效应与区域差异——基于动态面板数据模型的GMM估计  

Dynamic Effect and Regional Difference of Foreign Direct Investment on the Employment in China——GMM Estimation Based on Dynamic Panel Data Model

作　　者：丁翠翠[1] 郭庆然[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学经济学院,湖北武汉430073 [2]河南科技学院经济与管理学院,河南新乡453003

出　　处：《经济经纬》2014年第1期62-67,共6页Economic Survey

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(10&ZD075);中南财经政法大学博士生科研创新课题(2013B0208);河南省高等学校青年骨干教师资助计划项目(2010GGJS-139)

摘　　要：笔者基于1996年～2011年我国的省际面板数据,采用动态面板数据模型广义矩(GMM)分析方法,考察了外商直接投资对我国就业影响的动态效应与区域差异。研究表明,外商直接投资对我国就业影响的区域差异显著,整体上具有显著的挤出效应;仅滞后1期外商直接投资对中部地区当年就业的创造效应显著,而其他时域的外商直接投资对当年就业的影响均是负向的。因此,引进外商直接投资无法吸纳更多的劳动力,依靠外商直接投资很难缓解国内的就业压力。Based on the inter- provincial panel data between 1996 and 2011 and by using the Generalized Method of Moment（GMM） of Dynamic Panel Data Model , this paper makes a study of the dynamic effect and regional difference of foreign direct investment （FDI）on the employment in China. The results show that the regional difference about the effect of FDI on the employment is signifi- cant in China and FDI has a significant crowding - out effect on China＇ s regional employment. Only FDI last year has a significant cre- ation effect on employment of the Central China while FDI in other periods and regions has a negative effect on the employment this year. Therefore, the introduction of FDI in China cannot absorb more workforces, and it is very difficult to rely on FDI to alleviate do- mestic employment pressure.

关 键 词：外商直接投资 就业 动态效应 区域差异 

分 类 号：F830.593[经济管理—金融学]