辽宁沿海经济带产业投资结构关系的实证分析  

Industrial and Industrial Structure Cointegration Analysis of Liaoning Coastal Economic Zone

作　　者：张磊[1] 关伟[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁师范大学城市与环境学院,辽宁大连116029 [2]辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展中心,辽宁大连116029

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2014年第1期28-31,79,共5页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划项目(编号:2008BAH31B06);辽宁经济社会发展立项课题项目(编号:2013lslktzijjx-45)

摘　　要：投资结构与产业结构是相互影响、相互制约的,优化固定资产投资结构将促进产业结构的升级。运用计量经济学中的协整理论对沿海经济带产业投资结构进行实证研究,结果表明,辽宁沿海经济带第二产业与第三产业的GDP与其投资额之间具有长期稳定的均衡关系,而第一产业则不存在这种关系。从格兰杰因果关系检验结果看出,辽宁沿海经济带第二产业的投资额与其GDP之间具有单向因果关系,第三产业投资额与其GDP之间存在双向因果关系。Investment structure and industrial structure was mutual influence, mutual restraint. Optimization of fixed assets investment structure would facilitate upgrading of industrial structure. This paper used cointegration econometrics theory to research the coastal economic belt industrial in- vestment structure. The results showed that ： Liaoning coastal economic zone of the second industry between tertiary industry GDP investment was the long - term stable equilibrium relationship, but the existence of such a relationship was not the first industry. From the Granger causality test results showed that Liaoning coastal economic zone and its investment in secondary industry GDP was a unidirectional causal relationship between investment in the tertiary industry and its two - way causal relationship between GDP existed.

关 键 词：沿海经济带 产业投资结构 格兰杰因果关系 

分 类 号：F830.591[经济管理—金融学]