2013年经济形势分析与2014年展望——促进经济运行向新常态平稳过渡  

The Analysis of the Current Economic Situation of 2013 and the Outlook for 2014

作　　者：经济形势分析课题组 

机构地区：[1]国务院发展研究中心,北京市100010

出　　处：《中国流通经济》2014年第1期9-14,共6页China Business and Market

摘　　要：2013年我国经济运行呈现景气回升态势,但回升的基础尚不稳固,在资金配置、房地产市场、产品产能、出口等方面的结构性矛盾突出。目前,我国经济正从高速增长阶段向中速增长阶段转变,新的经济增长常态是确保质量和效益前提下的中等发展速度,需要迎接劳动力成本、资金成本、土地成本、流通成本、知识产权保护成本、行业准入成本高的挑战,应实施双稳健的财政和货币政策,处理好深化改革与短期增长的关系,实施区域差别化房地产政策,积极防范化解地方债务风险,改善企业运营环境,促进转型升级。In 2013, we made a turnaround in terms of economic performance; but the foundation for that is weak; structural conflicts in capital distribution, real estate market, product and production capacity and export are very prominent. At present, China＇s economy is transforming from the stage of rapid growth to moderate growth; the new normal of economic growth is the moderate growth under the precondition of guaranteeing quality and benefit; we need to face the challenges of high cost of labor, capital, land, circulation, intellectual property protection and industry access： we should implement the prudent fiscal and monetary policy, strike a balance !,etween deepening reform and short-term growth, implement different policy of real estate in different regions, guard against and defuse the risk of local debt, improve the environment of enterprises operation and promote transformation and upgrading.

关 键 词：经济企稳 结构性矛盾 双稳健政策 改革 

分 类 号：F120[经济管理—世界经济]