基于PCA和DEA的海上可再生能源开发综合评价  

PCA and DEA based comprehensive evaluation on the exploiture of marine renewable energy

作　　者：周鹏飞[1] 白玉红[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学建设工程学部,辽宁大连116023

出　　处：《可再生能源》2014年第1期120-126,共7页Renewable Energy Resources

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项(DUT13JN01);国家海洋局海洋可再生能源专项(GHME2011CL01);大连市科技计划项目(2008J99JH123)

摘　　要：海上可再生能源开发是我国能源战略的重要内容。结合我国海上可再生能源开发实际,从资源、经济、技术和环境秉性方面分析了海上可再生能源开发因素,构建海上可再生能源开发综合评价指标体系。提出了基于主成分分析(PCA)与数据包络分析(DEA)的海上可再生能源开发综合评价方法,利用主成分分析提取多因素有效信息,减少因素关联的不利影响,利用数据包络分析海上可再生能源开发综合效能和制约因素。通过我国沿海省份海上可再生能源开发综合评价案例分析,发现我国海上可再生能源的投入与产出比例等问题,指出其发展方向,同时案例也验证了所提出方法的可行性。The exploiture of marine renewable energy is an important content of our country energy strategy. Combining to the actual situations of the exploiture of marine renewable energy, exploita- tion factors of marine renewable energy are analyzed from four aspects, which including resources, technology, economy and environment, then establishing comprehensive evaluation index system for the exploiture of marine renewable energy. Meantime, comprehensive evaluation method is pro- posed for the exploiture of marine renewable energy which based on PCA and DEA. The effective information of multiple factors is extracted and adverse effects associated factors is reduced by PCA. Comprehensive efficiency and restrictive factors of exploiture of marine renewable energy are analyzed by DEA. Through analyzing the case of marine renewable energy exploiture in China＇s coastal provinces, it could find problem about irrational proportion of marine renewable energy be- tween input and output, then, pointing out the development direction of marine renewable energy. Meantime, the application case also shows the feasibility of the proposed method.

关 键 词：海上可再生能源开发 综合评价 主成分分析法 数据包络分析法 

分 类 号：TK71[动力工程及工程热物理—流体机械及工程] P743[天文地球—海洋科学]