房地产业对海南经济的关联与波及效应研究——基于投入产出模型的实证分析  

The Empirical Study on Enterprise Relationship and Enterprise Spread of Hainan Province's Real Estate Industry: Based on Input-Output Model

作　　者：关高峰[1,2] 贺根庆[3,4] 

机构地区：[1]长安大学,西安710064 [2]长江大学,荆州434023 [3]清华大学博士后流动站 [4]包商银行博士后工作站,北京100101

出　　处：《中央财经大学学报》2014年第2期106-112,共7页Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics

基　　金：中国博士后科学基金项目(项目编号:2013M530898)之研究成果

摘　　要：本文利用1997年、2002年、2007年海南省投入产出表数据,通过对海南省房地产业与经济发展的动态反应机制的研究,揭示房地产业的关联效应及波及效应。研究发现:海南省房地产业与不同产业的关联效应存在差别,且有的产业差别较为明显;房地产业中间投入率和使用率都比较低;房地产业对经济的直接带动力并不强,其对经济的重要贡献是通过与之紧密相关的产业来实现的。笔者认为:应进一步优化海南省房地产的供给结构;按房地产业与其他产业的关联性质,制定协调发展政策并动态调整;科学规划房地产业发展,防止房地产的过度开发;稳步推进与国际旅游岛建设相配套的高端房产发展步伐。By using ＂Input-Output tables of Hainan 1997, 2002 and 2007＂, thepaper study the dynamic response mechanism research of the real estate industry and economic development in Hainan to measures the En- terprise Relationship and Enterprise Spread of Hainan＇s real estate industry. The study show the enterprise relation- ship of real estate industry and other industry are difference, and some difference is more obvious; the ratio of the real estate＇s intermediate input and utilization are low; the direct driving force on the economy is not strong of real estate industry. Last this paper propose some suggestions-further optimizing the supply structure of Hainan＇s real es- tate industry, taking note of the housing; coordinating development policy and dynamic adjustment based on the related properties of real estate industry and different industries; scientific planning the real estate industry＇s devel- opment to prevent excessive speculation and development; steadily moving high-end real estate development pace for matching the international tourism island construction.

关 键 词：房地产业 产业关联 波及效应 

分 类 号：F293.353[经济管理—国民经济]