城市农民工生命统计价值研究:基于改进的特征工资模型——来自上海的证据  

RESEARCH ON THE VALUE OF STATISTICAL LIFE OF RURAL MIGRANTS:BASED ON THE LMPROVED HEDONIC MODEL——The evidence from Shanghai

作　　者：彭小辉[1] 王常伟[1] 史清华[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院,上海200052

出　　处：《经济理论与经济管理》2014年第1期52-61,共10页Economic Theory and Business Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71273171);国家社科青年基金项目(13CJY072);南京师范大学泰州学院重点项目(Z201201)

摘　　要：本文在回顾国内外生命价值理论和实证的基础上，利用2009年和2012年上海农民工调查数据，采用特征工资模型对样本农民工的生命价值进行了估算，结果显示行业的伤亡风险对工资率有显著影响，改进模型比经典模型更适合生命价值的评估。基于改进模型得到的城镇农民工平均生命价值为936．56万元，比基于经典模型估算的结果要高，原因在于经典模型中遗漏了消费这一重要变量。对年龄分段进行回归分析发现，生命价值与年龄的关系呈倒U型，在46岁～50岁达到最大，并且消费显著提高了老年人的生命价值，其隐含的政策含义对于中国死亡赔偿、生产安全、环境和健康政策的效益评估具有重要的参考价值。Based on the review of theoretical and empirical of VSL, using the survey data of rural migrants between 2009 and 2012 in Shanghai, According to the Hedonic model, the paper estimates the val- ue of statistical life of rural migrants. Regression results show that the fatal risk of industry has a significant effect on wage rates, Improved model is better than classical model used to evaluate statistical value of life. the improved Hedonic model estimates the value of statistical is RMB 9.37 million, which is much higher than based on the classical model estimation results. The reason is that the consumption is an important variable which left out in the classical model. Regression with age group finds that the value of statistical life does not decline with age, the relation of them is inverted ＂U＂, peaks in one＇s 46 - 50, consumption improves the value of statistical life of older worker. The underlying policy implications for China＇s death compensation, production safety, environmental, and health policy of cost and benefit assessment has important reference value.

关 键 词：农民工 特征工资模型 VSL 死亡风险 

分 类 号：F249.2[经济管理—劳动经济]