基于面板数据SDM的长江中游城市群FDI决定因素分析  

The Decisive Factors to FDI in Urban Agglomerations in Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River: Based on Panel Data and SDM

作　　者：胡平[1,2] 伍新木[1] 文余源[3] 

机构地区：[1]武汉大学经济与管理学院,中国湖北武汉430070 [2]华中科技大学外国语学院,中国湖北武汉430074 [3]中国人民大学区域与城市经济研究所,中国北京100872

出　　处：《经济地理》2014年第1期15-21,60,共8页Economic Geography

摘　　要：以长江中游城市群40个城市1991—2012年的面板数据为研究对象,采用空间Durbin模型对影响该地区城市FDI区位因素的理论假设进行检验,发现:①FDI区位分布具有显著的空间依赖效应,但有随时间弱化趋势,空间相互作用不可忽略;②从总体样本结果看,各因素对城市FDI区位的影响与理论预期基本吻合,较好地验证了理论假设;③近20余年来该地区城市FDI区位影响因素及其作用呈阶段性演变特征,市场规模和外资集聚经济一直对城市FDI区位具有显著正向效应并有增强趋势,工资效率、市场化程度和人力资本等因素初期阶段作用不明显或者呈负向影响,但后期转为显著正向影响,城市化因素初期显著但后期不显著,基础设施因素在所有估计样本中不显著;④各因素对FDI区位表现了不同的空间效应,部分因素的空间作用对FDI区位具有重要影响。Based on the panel data from 40 cities in the urban agglomerations in Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River, this paper examines the determinants in location decision of Foreign Direct Investment（FDI） in the region by using Spatial Durbin Model（SDM）. The analysis finds that： 1） The location distribution of FDI shows clear space dependence, which however declines over time. Meanwhile, the spatial correlation should not be neglected; 2） The overall results of the sample data indicate that the effects of various determinants on urban FDI location are consistent with the theoretical hypothesis previously expected; 3） The various determinants and their effects on FDI in the region in the last twenty years are stage evolutional. Market scale and foreign capital agglomeration have both been significant positive factors to FDI location decision and tend to reinforce themselves; wage efficiency, marketization level and human capital factors have insignificant or even negative effects at the initial stage but evolve into significant positive effects insignificant factor in all the samples; 4） these determinants shows different spatial effects, some of which exert considerable impacts on FDI location decisions. The above findings can provide valuable references to the using of FDI and investment decisions of multinational corporations in the urban agglomerations in Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River.

关 键 词：FDI 区位决定 面板空间Durbin模型 长江中游城市群 

分 类 号：F114.49[经济管理—国际贸易] F207[经济管理—世界经济]