矿业城市经济脆弱性演变过程及应对时机选择研究——以东北三省为例  

The Evolution and Coping Timing of Economic Vulnerability of Mining Cities: A Case Study in Northeast China

作　　者：李鹤[1] 张平宇[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所,中国吉林长春130102

出　　处：《经济地理》2014年第1期82-88,共7页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年项目(41001097);国家自然科学基金重点项目(40635030)

摘　　要：借鉴可持续性科学研究领域的"脆弱性"分析框架,以东北三省矿业城市为例,对矿业城市经济脆弱性的演变过程及其应对时机选择进行了研究。研究表明:伴随着矿业城市生命周期的推进,东北三省矿业城市经济脆弱性经历了潜伏、爆发、消退三个演变阶段,呈现出倒"U"型曲线的演变轨迹。通过对比分析大庆、阜新的应对实践,指出经济脆弱性大规模爆发前是应对矿业城市经济脆弱性的重要机遇期,可以减缓城市经济脆弱性大规模爆发对城市社会经济发展造成的影响,有利于平稳推进矿业城市经济发展模式的适应性转变。As one kind of cities facing serious economic sustainable development problems, the economic development of mining cities possesses typical vulnerable characteristics. Based on the vulnerability analysis framework in sustainability science, the paper investigates the evolution and coping timing of economic vulnerability based on a case study of mining cities in northeast China. As exemplified by the case study, along with the growth, decline and revitalization of mining cities, the degree of economic vulnerability follows an inverse-U-shaped curve during the evolution process, which can be divided into three periods： latent period （1949-1980）, outbreak period （1980-2003）, subsided period （2003-）. Examples of Daqing and Fuxin show that different timing for coping economic vulnerability can produce different impacts on the evolution process of economic vulnerability. Adopting active coping measures before the massive outbreak period can effectively alleviate the negative effects of economic vulnerability on the economic development of mining cities, and smoothly advance the adaptive transformation of urban economic development pattern.

关 键 词：矿业城市 脆弱性 经济转型 演变过程 应对时机 东北三省 

分 类 号：F407.22[经济管理—产业经济]