IPCC气候变化自然科学认知的发展  

The Cognition Development of the Climate Change Physical Sciences on IPCC

作　　者：巢清尘[1] 周波涛[1] 孙颖[1] 张永香[1] 黄磊[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国气象局国家气候中心,北京100081

出　　处：《气候变化研究进展》2014年第1期7-13,共7页Climate Change Research

基　　金：国家科技支撑课题"IPCC第五次评估对我国应对气候变化战略的影响"(2012BAC20B05);自然科学基金(41275078)

摘　　要：过去20年来,随着观测手段的改善、气候模式的进步以及分析方法的提升,人类对气候变化事实、原因和未来趋势的认识水平不断深化,进一步确认全球气候系统变暖是毋庸置疑的,人类活动是20世纪中叶以来气候变暖的主要原因,未来气候系统仍将继续变暖。IPCC评估报告极大地促进了气候变化自然科学的进展,并为适应和减缓气候变化奠定了坚实的科学基础。Abstract： In the past two decades, the cognition on the facts, causes and future trends of climate change has been strengthened due to the improvement of observational measures, the enhancement of analysis methods and the development of climate models. It is further confirmed that warming of the climate system is unequivocal, anthropogenic activity is the main cause of global warming since the mid-20th century and further warming will continue in the climate system in future. IPCC assessment reports on climate change have greatly promoted the progress of the physical sciences. They also lay the solid scientific foundations for adapting to and mitigating climate change.

关 键 词：IPCC 自然科学 认知 发展 

分 类 号：P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]