两岸双边贸易互补性强弱及其性质的动态研究  

A Dynamic Study of Cross-strait Bilateral Trade Complementary Strength and Properties

作　　者：朱荃[1] 蔡武[1] 

机构地区：[1]中山大学岭南学院,广东广州510275

出　　处：《首都经济贸易大学学报》2014年第1期50-57,共8页Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business

基　　金：广东省普通高校人文社会科学重大攻关项目<港澳珠三角区域经济一体化研究>(10ZGXM79001);中山大学"211工程"三期重点学科建设项目<粤港澳区域合作研究>

摘　　要：摘要：本文实证研究了两岸双边贸易互补性强弱及其性质的动态变化情况。研究表明，两岸贸易具有较强的互补性，这种互补性主要表现在台湾地区出口、大陆进口货物的角度，且近年来有下降趋势。1995～2011年，两岸大部分产业的互补性强弱和性质均发生了变化。尽管目前产业内互补的产业个数略高于产业间互补的产业，但从贸易比重来看，两岸仍然是以产业间贸易为主，产业内贸易的重要性则逐渐上升。This paper, using the cross-strait trade annual data from 1995 to 2011, makes an empirical re- search on the dynamic change of Cross-strait＇ s bilateral trade complementary strength and properties. Research shows that, the Cross-strait trade has strong complementary, but the complementary mainly exists in the angle of Taiwan export, Mainland import, and has a downward trend in recent years. Between 1995 and 2011, most of the industry＇ s complementary strength and properties are changed, although the current quantity of intra-industry com- pensation＇ s industry is slightly higher than the inter-industry compensation, but viewed seeing from the current cross-strait trade proportion, still dominated by inter-industry trade. Finally, the authors give some suggestion for developing the cross-strait trade.

关 键 词：贸易互补 产业内互补 产业间贸易 

分 类 号：F727[经济管理—产业经济]