我国服务业发展滞后与生产率增长悖论的解析——基于服务消费视角  

An Explanation of the Paradox between Lag Development in Service Sector and Productivity Growth:From the Perspective of Service Consumption

作　　者：王晶晶[1] 黄繁华[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学商学院,江苏南京210093

出　　处：《上海财经大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2014年第1期106-112,共7页Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金"应对外需减弱保持出口平稳增长研究"(09BJY079);江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目"江苏现代服务业发展战略;思路;模式;途径与政策研究"(2010ZDAXM009)

摘　　要：文章以服务消费为切入点,构建了两部门非平衡增长模型,解释了中国式的"服务业发展悖论"。从理论模型看,服务业发展水平与生产率之间呈U形关系;从实证分析看,利用我国1995-2010年31个省市面板数据的检验,结果显示:第一,我国服务业发展水平虽然滞后,但可通过服务消费的人力资本积累效应,促进经济增长;第二,分地区检验结果显示,服务业发展对东部地区生产率的促进作用最强劲。这为改善我国服务业发展滞后现状、优化产业结构以及协调区域经济发展提供了一条可行路径。Based on service consumption, this paper constructs a two-sector imbalanced growth model and then explains the Chinese-style service development paradox. The theoretical model shows that there is a U-shape relationship between the level of service development and productivity.The empirical test by the panel data of 31 provinces from 1995 to 2010 arrives at the conclusions as follows： firstly, although the level of service development in China lags behind, it can promote economic growth through the human capital accumulation effect of service consump- tion; secondly, a sub-regional test shows that service development plays the strongest role in the promotion of productivity in eastern China. This paper provides a viable path to the improvement of lag service development, the optimization of industrial structure and the coordination of region- al economic development.

关 键 词：服务消费 人力资本积累 生产率 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]