中国自由贸易协定的出口效应——基于商品技术含量的分行业研究  

Export Effect of China's Free Trade Agreement: An Industry Research based on Product Technical Content

作　　者：王开[1] 靳玉英[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海财经大学国际工商管理学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2014年第2期29-34,87-88,共6页World Economy Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目"世界经济周期性波动及其对我国宏观审慎监管框架构建的政策含义研究"(项目编号:12AZD051);上海财经大学研究生创新基金"全球FTA网络演化机制研究及中国的策略选择"(项目编号:CXJJ-2012-335)的资助

摘　　要：自"多哈回合"多边贸易谈判陷入僵局以来,各国均积极寻求缔结双边或区域自由贸易协定(FTA)。作为全球贸易大国,中国也在积极推行FTA战略。本文旨在深入评估中国与贸易伙伴国缔结的FTA所产生的出口贸易效应。首先,基于联合国贸发委的出口贸易数据和产品分类标准,按照商品技术含量对出口产品进行分类。其次,在前人研究的基础上,本文构建了扩展的引力模型,就中国签订的FTA对贸易伙伴国的出口流量和结构所产生的影响进行分析。最终结果显示:中国签订的贸易自由化程度较高的FTA有助于中国产品的出口,而中国签订的贸易自由化程度较低的FTA减少了中国对这些国家初级产品、资源密集型商品和低技术劳动密集型商品的出口,但提高了中国中等技术商品的出口。Since the ' Doha Round' stalled,many countries actively seek to conclude bilateral or regional free trade agreements. As a global trade power,China is also actively pursuing FTA strategy. This paper aims to do a detailed assessment on the export tradeimpact of China's bilateral or regional trade agreements. First,based on the bilateral export trade data of UNCTAD,export commodities are classified according to the standard of technical content. Secondly,on the basis of previous literature,the impact of China's FTAs with partners on export flows and structure is analyzed by building extended gravity model. Finally,the empirical results show that the FTAs that China has signed with other countries as higher degree of trade liberalization have promoted Chinese export. However,the FTAs with lesser extent of trade liberalization that China has signed with other countries have reduced China's export of primary products,resource-intensive and low-technology goods,but increase the export of China's medium-technology goods.

关 键 词：自由贸易协定 出口效应 商品技术含量 引力模型 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易] F224[经济管理—产业经济]