基于层次分析法的河南省粮食安全综合评价  

Integrated Evaluation of Food Security Based on AHP in Henan Province

作　　者：李楠楠[1] 介冬梅[1] 刘洪妍[1] 刘利丹[1] 葛勇[2,3] 郭梅娥[1] 阳金秀[1] 陈雪松[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北师范大学地理科学学院,长春130024 [2]中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所北京100029 [3]中国科学院研究生院,北京100049

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2014年第1期103-108,共6页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：环保行业公益项目(201109067);高校基本业务费资助前瞻性基金项目(10JCXK010);2012年度国家大学生创新性实验计划基金资助项目(201210200089)

摘　　要：选取能够反映粮食安全状况的10个综合评价指标,利用层次分析法建立评价模型,对河南省18个城市2006—2011年粮食安全状况进行评价。结果表明:河南省各城市粮食安全状况差异较大;18个城市的粮食安全状况可分为稳定型、波动稳定型、波动上升型和波动下降型4种类型;针对河南省粮食安全地域分布不均衡以及粮食安全保障中遇到的问题,如耕地面积锐减,城市化进程加快引起的人口膨胀等,从区域经济发展、农田水利建设、耕地保护、农业基础设施建设以及粮食安全应急预案及应急系统等方面提出建议。10 indexes were selected to reveal the comprehensive evaluation of food security in 18 provincial cities in Henan Province. A quantitative evaluation model based on analytical hierarchy process （AHP） is adopted to evaluate the status of food security of Henan Province from 2006 to 2011. Then the study confirms the type in dif- ferent cities. The results showed that the food security condition differs from city to city. 4 types of food security condition have been identified in 18 cities that is stable type, fluctuant stability type, fluetuant rising type and fluc- tuant decline type. To cope with the unbalanced distribution in different areas and the problem in food security such as the declined land resource, a population expand caused by urbanization and so on, the study put forward some suggestions to hand the challenge. Those include developing the regional economy, improving water conservancy fa- cilities, protecting the land resources and setting up the rural infrastructure and establishment of food warning sys- tem.

关 键 词：粮食安全 综合评价 层次分析法 河南省 

分 类 号：K902[历史地理—人文地理学] F327[经济管理—产业经济]