承压类特种设备典型事故现实风险分级评价方法研究  

Ranking Models of Realistic Risks for the Typical Accidents of Special Pressure Equipment

作　　者：罗云[1] 徐丽丽[2] 崔文[1] 黄强华[3] 罗志群 葛升群 夏锋社 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学工程技术学院,北京100083 [2]山西大同大学煤炭工程学院,山西大同037009 [3]国家质量监督检验检疫总局特种设备安全监察局,北京100088 [4]广东省特种设备检测院,广东广州510655 [5]陕西省锅炉压力容器检验所,陕西西安710048

出　　处：《安全与环境工程》2014年第1期98-102,107,共6页Safety and Environmental Engineering

基　　金："十二五"国家科技支撑计划课题(2011BAK06B06)

摘　　要：基于风险评价理论,依据FTA方法及风险重要性评价法,确定了包涵静态和动态风险指标以及概率和严重度指标的承压设备典型事故现实风险评价指标体系;运用AHP方法确定了各评价指标的权重,并针对各指标特性确立相应的风险分值标准,建立了承压类特种设备典型事故现实风险分级评价模型;最后以锅炉爆炸为实例验证了该评价方法的实用性和可操作性。该研究可为承压类特种设备使用过程典型事故现实风险分级评价和管理控制提供依据。Based on the theory of risk assessment,this paper optimizes the index system according to the FTA and risk important degree evaluation method and determines the index weights using the AHP. Thus it designs an eval- uation model of realistic risks for the typical accidents of special pressure equipment, including static and dynamic risk indexes as well as probability and severity indexes. The study sets up corresponding risk grade standards ac- cording to the characteristics of each index. Finally,the paper establishes the ranking evaluation models of realistic risks for the typical accidents of the explosion of special pressure equipment, and takes the explosion of boiler as an example to verify the practicability ant operability of the evaluation method. The study provides a scientific theory and method for the analysis, evaluation, management and control of realistic risks for typical accidents in the utiliza- tion process of the special pressure equipment.

关 键 词：承压类特种设备 典型事故 现实风险 分级评价方法 

分 类 号：X928.3[环境科学与工程—安全科学]