基于非线性回归的煤矿系统动力学模型分析及应用研究  

Analysis and Application on the Coal Mine System Dynamics Model Based on Non-linear Regression

作　　者：陈静[1,2] 杨永杰[1,2] 曹庆贵[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]山东科技大学资源环境学院 [2]矿山灾害预防控制国家重点培育实验室

出　　处：《现代矿业》2014年第1期9-12,共4页Modern Mining

摘　　要：通过对煤矿系统主要特点的分析,从衡量企业安全管理水平角度着眼,构建煤矿安全系统动力学模型,并通过非线性回归预测对模型进行数据量化分析,借助系统动力学VESIM软件,得到相应的可以反映系统各要素动态变化的曲线模型,为实际煤矿系统安全管理提供了科学依据。Firstly, the main characteristics of the coal mine sysyem is analyzed in detail. Then, the coal mine safety system dynamics model is constructed from the perspective of measure the enterprise＇s safety management level. Finally, the data of the coal mine syestem dynamic model is quantitative ana- lyzed by adopting the non-linear regression method and the curve model is obtained that can reflect the dynamic change of the various elements of the mine safety system. So, the research results provide scientif- ic basis for actual coal mine system safety management and have an important guiding significance.

关 键 词：非线性回归 煤矿 系统动力学 应用 

分 类 号：TD791[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]