河南省农业剩余物资源潜力分析  

Resource potential analysis of agricultural residues in Henan Province

作　　者：吴明作[1] 孟伟[2] 赵勇[1] 袁远[1] 

机构地区：[1]河南农业大学林学院,河南郑州450002 [2]国家林业局泡桐研究开发中心,河南郑州450003

出　　处：《可再生能源》2014年第2期222-228,共7页Renewable Energy Resources

基　　金：国家林业局林业公益性行业科研专项(201104049;201104068)

摘　　要：采用1997—2011年河南省统计年鉴数据，定量测算了15a来河南省农业剩余物资源的理论可获得量．并对其地理分布格局与年际变化进行了分析。结果表明：河南省的理论可获得量平均为秸秆资源1．07×10^7t．养殖资源8．18×10^7t，总计9．25×10^7t，主要分布于南阳市、驻马店市、周口市、商丘市。秸秆资源量随年际变化较为平缓，养殖资源量多数呈增长趋势，但2007年均出现较大幅度下降；几个主要分布区的变化倾向率为负值；FFT（快速傅立叶变换）表明其变化没有明显的年际周期性。聚类分析表明．河南省生物质能资源大致可分为4个区域，分别为丰富、较丰富、一般、贫乏区。因此，在相关产业规划时应注意区域性与时间变化性。Based on the date of Statistical Yearbook （1997-2011）, this paper estimated the theoretical biomass energy of agricultural residues in Henan Province in the past 15 years, and analyzed the spatial and temporal variation pattern. The results show that： the total theoretical biomass resource of agricultural residues is 9.25×10^7 t, among them 1.07×10^7 t is from crop, and 8.18×10^7 t is from husbandry. The resource is mainly distributed in Nanyang City, Zhumadian City, Zhoukou City and Shangqiu City. The resource of crop varied smoothly in 1997-2011, meanwhile, the resource of husbandry decreased sharply in 2007; the tendency rate is negative in the main region; FFT （Fast Fourier Transform） shows that annual periodicity is not obvious. It can be divided into four regions by the cluster analysis, which is richest, richer, general and poverty, respectively. These results indicate that the spatial and temporal changing pattern must be emphasized in the industry planning.

关 键 词：生物质能源 资源潜力 农业剩余物 时空变异 河南省 

分 类 号：TK6[动力工程及工程热物理—生物能] S216.2[农业科学—农业机械化工程]