基于灰色理论的福建海洋产业结构研究  

Analysis of Construction for Beautiful Ocean in Province of Fujian

作　　者：陈婉婷[1] 廖福霖[1,2] 罗栋燊[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]福建师范大学地理科学学院,福建福州350007 [2]福建师范大学生态文明研究所,福建福州350007

出　　处：《福建师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2014年第1期33-38,共6页Journal of Fujian Normal University:Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：2013年度福建省科技厅软科学项目<福建省生态文明经济发展研究>(项目编号:2013R0041)阶段性成果

摘　　要：海洋是重要的国土资源,福建作为海洋大省,建设美丽海洋势在必行。发展蓝色经济是建设美丽海洋的主要支撑,而海洋产业结构的优化是发展海洋经济的核心内容。本文基于灰色理论,对福建海洋产业结构进行关联和预测分析。结果表明:海洋产业之间相互关联和促进;陆域第一产业影响海洋产业的发展;海洋三产结构将由"三二一"模式转变为"二三一"模式。针对分析结果,从资源、科研力量、公共设施和海洋文化四个方面为福建省优化海洋产业结构提供思路。The 18th National Congress proposed the Wild China. The ocean is the important territorial resource. As a large Marine province, it is imperative for Fujian to build the Beautiful Ocean. Ocean economy development is the main support of building the Wild Ocean, and the marine industry structure optimization is the core content of the marine economy. In this paper, based on the grey method, we analyze the correlation and projections for Marine industrial structure of Fujian. The results show that ： Marine industries correlate and promote each other. Marine industry is influenced by the first industry for land. And the Marine industrial structure will change from the ＇321＇ model to the ＇231＇ model. According to the results, we provide some advices for how to optimize the Marine industrial structure of Fujian from four aspects that of resources, scientific research strength, public facilities and the marine culture.

关 键 词：灰色关联度 灰色预测模型 福建海洋产业 “二三一”模式 

分 类 号：K901[历史地理—人文地理学]