海外矿业投资国别金融风险评价研究  

Study on Country Financial Risk Assessment for Overseas Mining Investment

作　　者：郑明贵[1] 陈家愿 

机构地区：[1]江西理工大学经济管理学院,江西赣州市341000

出　　处：《矿业研究与开发》2014年第1期120-123,共4页Mining Research and Development

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(12CGL008);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(12YJA790208)

摘　　要：海外矿业投资是一项十分复杂的工程,其所面临的风险也多种多样,金融风险作为对矿业投资影响颇深的风险之一,在企业进行决策时需要慎重考虑与防范。在分析海外矿业投资金融风险主要影响因素的基础上,首先建立了海外矿业投资国别金融风险评价指标体系,利用AHP法确定了各指标的权重;其次,对海外矿业投资国别金融风险评价指标进行了分级,引入了变权原理,建立了海外矿业投资国别金融风险评价模型;最后,以加拿大、澳大利亚、南非、印度和巴西为例进行了应用研究。结果表明:所建立的国别金融风险评价模型可以用于海外矿业投资战略选区的识别,有效降低与防范金融风险,可以为我国矿山企业和政府部门的海外矿产资源开发决策提供相应的支持。Overseas mining investment is a complicated pro jt：ct facing witha variety of risks. As one of the hardest risks during investment, the financial risk should be carefully con sidered and prevented when decision is made. Based on the a nalysis of the main financial risk factors, firstly, a financial risk evaluation index system was established, and the weight of each index was determined by AHP. Secondly, every as sessment index was classified and the variable weight princi ple was brought forward to estahlish a financial risk evalua tion model for overseas mining investment. Finally, the ca sos of Canada. Australia, South Africa, India and Brazil were interpreted as examples to research. The results sbowed thai the model can be used for the strategic area i-dentification of the foreign mining investment to effectively reduce and prevent financial risks, which provided decision making support on the resource exploitation for Chinese rain ing enterprises and government.

关 键 词：矿业投资 金融风险 变权原理 风险评价 

分 类 号：F407.1[经济管理—产业经济]