“陷阱”或抑“透支”——中国城镇化发展的现实情境辨释  

TRAP OR OVERDRAFT: A DISCRIMINATION TO FACTUAL CONDITION OF URBANIZATION IN CHINA

作　　者：郝晋伟[1] 

机构地区：[1]同济大学建筑与城市规划学院

出　　处：《城市规划》2014年第2期54-61,共8页City Planning Review

摘　　要：对于中国落入"中等收入陷阱"的担忧在"新型城镇化"背景下被引申为"城镇化陷阱"担忧,而在片面的增长观下,"陷阱"担忧在"跨越"行动下仍有可能引发一轮无益的增长和扩张。文章基于对"发展"和"增长"理念的甄别,对"陷阱"进行概念辨析,认为"陷阱"及"跨越陷阱"是扭曲"发展观"下的伪命题;在对城镇化"跃进"和"透支"累积分析基础上提出"透支"与"失衡"才是中国城镇化发展的现实情景。同时,还基于"透支"判断,提出了在"科学发展观"下的城镇化转向策略。Following the new-type urbanization strategy proposed by the Chinese Government,the anxiety for ＂China dropping into middleincome trap＂ has been extended to a concern for the ＂urbanization trap＂.Driven by the onesided development concept and this anxiety,the so-called ＂leapfrog＂ development probably will trigger a new round of unsustainable growth and expansion in China.This paper discriminated the concept of ＂trap＂ by differentiating the concepts of ＂development＂ and ＂growth＂,coming to the conclusion that the ＂trap＂ and ＂leapfrog trap＂ were actually a pseudo-proposition under the distorted concept of development.On the basis of analyzing the urbanization leapfrog and overdraft,the paper pointed out that the real problems of China＇s urbanization were ＂overdrawn＂ and ＂imbalance＂.With this conclusion,the paper proposed the urbanization diversion strategies guided by the concept of scientific development.

关 键 词：城镇化 透支 失衡 增长主义 中等收入陷阱 中国 

分 类 号：F299.2[经济管理—国民经济]