能源消耗与经济增长关系的动态机理分析——基于C-D生产函数  

On Dynamic Mechanism Analysis on the Relationship between Energy Consumption and Economic Growth——Based on C-D Production Function

作　　者：张忠斌[1] 蒲成毅[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南民族大学经济学院,四川成都610041

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2014年第5期226-230,共5页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：西南民族大学应用经济学位点建设项目(2011XWD-S0202);四川金融学会(川金学〔2013〕3号);四川省保险学会(川保学[2013]12号);西南民大人事处(2009RC024)项目"中国环境污染责任保险研究"的阶段性研究成果

摘　　要：以国内生产总值GDP、能源消费量E、劳动力投入量L和资本存量K的动态关系,建立能源消耗与经济增长的动态数量模型,发现C-D生产函数理论既可分析引起一个经济体产出变化的拉动因素,又可解释单个变量与总产出之间的动态关系;实证表明,1980—2012年间我国存在从能源消耗到经济增长的单向因果关系,能源对经济增长的贡献率最高达到32.19%,最低为-23.8%,平均贡献率达到10.46%。未来我国低碳经济发展模式下的能源发展战略应该是提高能源利用效率为主,优化能源使用结构为辅,确保生态环境友好,经济发展可持续。Based on dynamic relationship of GDP, E, L and K, the paper builds a dynamic - numerical economic model between energy consumption and economic growth. It is found that C - D production function can not only analyze pull factors which change economy＇s yield, but explain the dynamic relationship between certain variable and gross output. Furthermore, the empirical analysis shows that there is a one - way causation from energy consumption to economic growth in China from 1980 to 2012 ; energy has contributed to economic development, ranging from a maximum rate of 32. 19% to the lowest -23. 8% , the average contribution rate is 10. 46%. In the future, China＇s low carbon economy development mode should give priority to improving the efficiency of energy utilization, complemented with optimizing the structure of energy use.

关 键 词：能源消耗 经济增长 动态机理 C—D生产函数 贡献率 

分 类 号：F206[经济管理—国民经济] F124F224