基于技术异质性的中日贸易隐含碳测算及分析  

The Calculation and Analysis of Embodied Carbon in China-Japan Trade: Based on the Technical Heterogeneity Assumption

作　　者：赵玉焕[1] 王淞[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学管理与经济学院,北京100081

出　　处：《北京理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2014年第1期12-18,26,共8页Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology：Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目"金砖五国对外贸易隐含碳测算及我国对策研究"(71273026)

摘　　要：基于中日技术异质性,使用多区域投入产出模型(MRIO),利用WIOD数据库非竞争型投入产出表,对1995—2009年中日贸易隐含碳进行了测算,测算中考虑了工业生产过程碳排放和能源消耗碳排放。同时,采用SDA分析,对中日贸易隐含碳的变化进行了因素分解。测算结果表明:从1995—2009年,在中日贸易中,中国出口隐含碳从40.78Mt增长到152.78Mt,进口隐含碳从12.25Mt增长到66.87Mt,净出口隐含碳从28.53Mt增长到85.91Mt。因素分解结果表明:在1995—2009年期间,对于中国对日本出口隐含碳的变化,规模效应促使了隐含碳的增长,技术效应促使了隐含碳减少,结构效应影响比较小。By using the technical heterogeneity assumption and non-competitive input-output tables extracted from WIOD database, this article estimates the embodied carbon in China-Japan trade during 1995-2009,which is generated from energy consumption and industrial production process, with a multi-region input-output model. Furthermore,by employing the structure decomposition analysis （SDA）approach, this article analyzes the driving forces of embodied carbon in exports from China to Japan during 1995- 2009. The result shows that, in trade with Japan, the embodied carbon in China＇s exports increased from 40.78Mt to 152.78Mt, the embodied carbon in China＇s imports increased from 12.25Mt to 66.87Mt, and the net embodied carbon exports increased from 28.53Mt to 85.91Mt. With SDA analysis, this article also finds that the scale effect had a large influence on the increase of carbon embodied in China＇s exports, and the technical effect is the primary cause in the decreasing of embodied carbon, while the influence of the structure effect is relatively small.

关 键 词：技术异质性 中日贸易 隐含碳 投入产出法 SDA分析 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]