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出 处:《地震地质》2013年第4期907-913,共7页Seismology and Geology
基 金:中国地震局地震行业科研专项(201208018)资助
摘 要:地震应急准备能力是一个区域或城市为了应对未来破坏性地震而具备的一种减灾功能,反映该区域或城市在应对未来地震发生时的处置能力。衡量相对应急准备能力的大小需要估算未来地震灾害损失,文中采用地震应急准备能力灾害系数表示未来地震灾害损失情况,选择人员伤亡和经济损失2个指标构建地震灾害量化模型,并根据未来20年地震灾害损失预测数据,计算出全国地震应急准备能力的灾害系数,为更确切地计算相对应急准备能力奠定基础。Earthquake emergency preparedness capability refers to the degree of disaster mitigation functions of a region or city against future destructive earthquake,which reflects the disaster-coping capability of a region or city in a future earthquake.To measure the size of earthquake emergency preparedness capability needs to estimate the future earthquake damage.In this paper,we introduce the hazard coefficient of earthquake emergency preparedness capability to express the future earthquake damage,and select two indicators,namely,the casualties and economic loss caused by earthquake to construct the disaster coefficient model of earthquake emergency preparedness capability.At last,using the earthquake damage forecast data in the future 20 years,the author calculate the hazard coefficients of earthquake emergency preparedness capability of the whole country,which lays a foundation for the precise calculation of earthquake emergency preparedness capability.
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