瓦斯涌出量的灰色模型预测与曲线拟合预测对比  

Comparative analysis of gas emission prediction based on gray model and curve fitting

作　　者：陈延可[1] 王社欣[1] 李嘉豪[1] 陈芊奇 

机构地区：[1]江西工业工程职业技术学院采矿与建筑工程系,江西萍乡337099

出　　处：《矿业工程研究》2014年第1期30-34,共5页Mineral Engineering Research

摘　　要：为了研究矿井瓦斯涌出量预测的规律,分析了2种常用预测模型数据的处理方法.结合顾桥煤矿1116(1)工作面瓦斯涌出量监测数据,将灰色GM(1,1)模型与曲线拟合方法应用于该工作面瓦斯涌出量的数据处理和预测结果的分析、检验,精度满足瓦斯涌出量预测要求,并运用F检验法,对2种预测结果进行相关性分析,得出了合理选择灰色GM(1,1)预测模型预测矿井瓦斯涌出量的基本结论.In order to study the rule of the amount of gas emission prediction, the commonly used methods in deformation monitoring data process are analyzed. Combined with amount of mine gas emission data in Guqiao Coal Mine, gray GM （ 1,1 ） model and curve fitting theory are applied to analyze the amount of gas emission prediction of No. 1116 （ 1 ） working face. The prediction results can be analyzed, verified and proved well. F - test is used to analyze the relativity of the prediction results, and the basic conclusion is drawn to rational selection of prediction model.

关 键 词：灰色模型 曲线拟合 瓦斯涌出量 预测 F检验法 

分 类 号：TD713[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]