新疆碳排放与经济发展的关联度分析  

Analysis on Correlation Between Carbon Emission and Economic Development in Xinjiang

作　　者：宋梅[1,2] 谢鹏[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)煤炭资源与安全开采国家重点实验室,北京100083 [2]中国矿业大学(北京)管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《煤炭工程》2014年第3期103-105,共3页Coal Engineering

基　　金：教育部"新世纪优秀人才支持计划"(NCET-11-0731);教育部高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金(20100023120016)

摘　　要：论文以2001-2010年新疆煤炭、石油、天然气消费量为基础,测算2001-2010年新疆碳排放总量,并分析各能源消费量对碳排放量的贡献率,得出煤炭消费对碳排放的贡献最大;以三大产业产值、碳排放量为基础,建立灰色关联模型,分析三大产业和碳排放的关联度,得出第二产业与碳排放关联度最高;进而以第二产业相关行业和碳排放为基础,建立灰色关联模型,具体分析相关行业和碳排放的关联度。最后结合新疆发展现状,给出新疆发展低碳经济的政策意见。Based on the consumption data of coal, petroleum and natural gas from 2001 to 2010, the carbon emission amount of Xinjiang was calculated. And the contribution rate of different energy consumption to carbon emission was studied, and the coal consumption was proved to be the largest contribution of carbon emission. According to production values of the three industries and carbon emission, the grey correlation model was established, the correlation between the three industry production values and carbon emission were analyzed, and the correlation between secondary industry and carbon emission was proved the highest. Then, aiming at the correlation between related businesses of secondary industry and carbon emission, the grey correlation model was established. According to the current situation of development in Xinjiang, advises on policy of low carbon economy development in Xinjiang were proposed.

关 键 词：碳排放 经济发展 灰色关联 新疆 

分 类 号：F407.1[经济管理—产业经济]