构建中印自由贸易区的产业内贸易效应分析  

On the Effect of the Construction of Industry Trade in China-India Free Trade Area

作　　者：刘欢[1] 王会强[2] 

机构地区：[1]河北大学经济学院,河北保定071000 [2]河北软件职业技术学院,河北保定071000

出　　处：《河北软件职业技术学院学报》2014年第1期1-4,9,共5页Journal of Hebei Software Institute

基　　金：国家社科基金项目"中印建立自由贸易区的预期收益研究"(12BGJ041)部分成果

摘　　要：中印自由贸易区的建立已是大势所趋。两国人口占世界人口近40%,资源丰富,潜力巨大,中印自贸区也将成为世界上发展中国家组建的最大的自贸区,将极大地推动发展中国家经济区域一体化进程。因此,有必要对中印双边产业内贸易程度以及双边贸易合作的经济效应、影响程度和长期趋势进行分析,而中印自由贸易区的建立对产业内贸易的影响和趋势预测用格兰杰因果关系检验是直观有效的。The construction of China-India FTA is inevitable. The two counties＂ population accounts for nearly 40% of the world＇s population with rich resources and great capacity. The establishment of the China-India FTA will be the biggest free trade area composed of developing countries in the world. It will greatly promote economic regional integration process in developing countries. Thus it is very necessary to analyze the effect the China-Indian bilateral extent of industry trade, as well as bilateral cooperation in the economic effects,the economic and cul tural impact on whole world and its long-term tendency. It is effective to analyze the impact of the establishment of China-India FTA on industry trade by Granger causality test.

关 键 词：中印自贸区 产业内贸易 格兰杰检验 

分 类 号：F752.8[经济管理—国际贸易]