我国石化行业碳排放权分配研究  

The Study of Carbon Emission Permits Allocation in China's Petrochemical Industry

作　　者：骆瑞玲[1,2] 范体军[1] 李淑霞[1] 李小鹏[1] 

机构地区：[1]华东理工大学商学院,上海200237 [2]石河子大学信息科学与技术学院,新疆石河子832000

出　　处：《中国软科学》2014年第2期171-178,共8页China Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71171082;71102068;71001039);教育部新世纪人才计划(NCET-11-0637);教育部人文社会科学基金(10YJC630119);上海市自然科学基金(11ZR1408300);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金

摘　　要：本文构建了基于基准年份GDP发展水平、历史排放水平两个指标的碳排放权分配模型,定量模拟了在实施碳交易的情境下,2020年我国石化行业碳排放权分配情况,以及碳交易对各子行业经济发展、减排水平的影响。研究表明:"均衡型"、"经济发展水平偏好型"和"历史排放水平偏好型"三种分配方案下,分别对应的石化行业总体GDP变化为-0.88%、-1.01%、-0.75%。从石化行业全局经济发展来看,"历史排放水平偏好型"碳配额分配方案对GDP总量的影响最小。Carbon emission rights allocation model is constructed based on the development level of the benchmark year and historical emission levels in this paper. It will quantitatively simulates the allocation of carbon emission rights in China＇s petrochemical industry sectors in the context of the carbon trading in 2020, as well as the economic development of the various departments and the level of emission reductions. Research results have shown in the three carbon alloca- tion cases in this study, namely ＂Equally weighting, Preferring capacity, Preferring historical emission＂, the correspond- ing changes in GDP in the petrochemical industries are -0. 88% ,-1.01% ,-0. 75%. From the global economic develop- ment of the petrochemical industry, it can be seen that the carbon quota allocation scheme in ＂Preferring historical emis- sion＂ causes minimal impact on total GDP.

关 键 词：碳交易 碳排放强度 碳排放权分配 石化行业 

分 类 号：F754.67[经济管理—国际贸易]