基于证据网络的舰艇编队超视距反导态势评估  

Formation Over-horizon Anti-missile Situation Assessment Based on Evidential Network

作　　者：李大鹏[1] 雷肖剑 马国欣[1] 谭乐祖[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院,山东烟台264001

出　　处：《战术导弹技术》2014年第1期50-54,85,共6页Tactical Missile Technology

摘　　要：根据舰艇编队超视距反导作战的具体技、战术特点以及影响态势评估的相关因素,构建了超视距反导作战态势评估模型。利用基于VBS及D-S证据理论的证据网络模型对所构建的态势评估模型进行推理,并利用Pignistic变换将信度测度转换为概率测度,且引入了一种对证据网络中事件节点进行基本信度分配的方法。仿真结果表明,该方法能够准确地对超视距反导态势进行评估,具备较强的实战应用价值。According to the technical and tactics characteristic of warship formation over-horizon anti-mis- sile and situation assessment influence factor, the situation assessment model is built up and deduced by the evidential network based on VBS and D-S evidential theory, and belief measure is transformed into probability measure by Pignistic. The method of the basic belief distribution is used. Simulation results demonstrate that the method can assess anti-missile situation accurately, and have obvious actual combat value.

关 键 词：舰艇编队 超视距反导 证据网络 态势评估 

分 类 号：TJ83[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]