Trends and Features of China's Inter-Provincial Trade:1987-2007  

作　　者：张少军 李善同 

机构地区：[1]Department of International Economics and Trade,School of Economics,Xiamen University [2]Department of Development Strategy and Regional Economy,the State Council Development Research Center

出　　处：《China Economist》2014年第2期90-99,共10页中国经济学人（英文版）

基　　金：National Social Science Foundation for the Youth Scholars of China:The Internal Origins of Chinese External Imbalances(Grant No.12 CJL055);Educational Development Foundation of Department of International Economic and Trade,Xiamen University:Research on the Effect of Outsourcing on China's Economy(Grant No.201112111);Humanities and Social Science Project for the Youth Scholars of the Ministry of Education:Research on China's Current Account Adjustment Mode Under the Public Finance(Grant No.11YJC790281)

摘　　要：With today's economic globalization,inter-provincial trade plays an important role in a country's economy.This paper is the first to adopt the input-output tables of 30 Chinese provinces and to summarize the evolution of China's inter-provincial trade from1987 to 2007.This paper reaches the following conclusions.First,China's inter-provincial trade has sustained a period of rapid growth.In 2007,the total volume of inter-provincial trade was twice the amount of international trade,with the eastern region accounting for the majority of the inter-provincial trade volume.GDP may have a greater effect on interprovincial trade than geographic distance does.Second,inter-provincial trade maintains a high level of concentration and overlaps with the high concentration of GDP.Third,the inter-provincial trade dependence of Chinese provinces tends to increase,an indication of the growing domestic market integration.Moreover,the eastern region's dependence on inter-provincial trade is higher than the central and western regions'.Fourth,the share of inter-provincial trade in the overall external trade of Chinese provinces has a declining tendency,which indicates a slower process of China's domestic market integration compared with international market integration.However,in terms of proportion,the external trade of most Chinese provinces is still dominated by inter-provincial trade.Fifth,most provinces with longstanding inter-provincial trade deficits are in the central and western regions.With today＇s economic globalization, inter-provincial trade plays an important role in a country＇s economy. This paper is the first to adopt the input-output tables of 30 Chinese provinces and to summarize the evolution of China＇s inter-provincial trade from 1987 to 2007. This paper reaches the following conclusions. First, China＇s inter-provincial trade has sustained a period of rapid growth. In 2007, the total volume of inter-provincial trade was twice the amount of international trade, with the eastern region accounting for the majority of the inter-provincial trade volume. GDP may have a greater effect on inter- provincial trade than geographic distance does. Second, inter-provincial trade maintains a high level of concentration and overlaps with the high concentration of GDP. Third, the inter-provincial trade dependence of Chinese provinces tends to increase, an indication of the growing domestic market integration. Moreover, the eastern region＇s dependence on inter-provincial trade is higher than the central and western regions ＇. Fourth, the share of inter-provincial trade in the overall external trade of Chinese provinces has a declining tendency, which indicates a slower process of China＇s domestic market integration compared with international market integration. However, in terms of proportion, the external trade of most Chinese provinces is still dominated by inter-provincial trade. Fifth, most provinces with longstanding inter-provincial trade deficits are in the central and western regions.

关 键 词：inter-provincial trade provincial input-output tables trade inflows andoutflows market integration gravity model of trade. 

分 类 号：F727[经济管理—产业经济]