反补贴贸易救济措施绩效考察：以欧盟为例  

Performance Analysis on EU Foreign Countervailing Measures

作　　者：李计广[1] 

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学中国WTO研究院,100029

出　　处：《南开经济研究》2013年第6期107-121,共15页Nankai Economic Studies

摘　　要：通过构建一个开放的动态随机一般均衡（DSGE）模型，分析反补贴措施的主要贸易效应和主要影响因素。运用2001～2008年欧盟反41、贴案例中6位HS编码分类下的产业数据，考察了裁决前一年到裁决后三年共五年情况，验证了反补贴措施的绩效，结论是虽然反补贴措施能够产生显著的进口限制效应，但由于贸易转移效应的存在大大减弱了贸易救济措施的绩效。尤其值得注意的是，贸易转移效应相较进口限制效应存在一年多的滞后期，从而能为国内产业提供一定的缓冲。We first analyze the main effects and affecting factors of Countervailing Meas- ures by a simple Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium （DSGE）model. Then, we use industry data set based on 6 digital tariff codes from 2001 to 2008 to test the performance of EU foreign countervailing measures. We found that the measures can have trade destruction effects, but it will be greatly weakened by trade diversion effects. It is worth noting that there are more than one year later of trade diversion effects than trade destruction effects, which will give some cushions for the relative domestic industry.

关 键 词：反补贴 贸易救济绩效 动态一般均衡模型 两步系统GMM 

分 类 号：F744[经济管理—国际贸易]