氡观测预报发震地点和震级的方法初探  

Preliminary study on the forecast of earthquake location and magnitude by Radon observation

作　　者：杨绍富[1] 张嘉敏[1] 徐长银[1] 

机构地区：[1]新疆维吾尔自治区地震局库尔勒地震台,新疆库尔勒841000

出　　处：《国际地震动态》2014年第2期30-34,共5页Recent Developments in World Seismology

基　　金：新疆地震科学基金(201310);中国地震局"地震监测;预测;科研"三结合课题(143101)资助

摘　　要：选取新15泉水氡、新43泉气氡资料,利用氡观测异常预测发震地点和震级方法,对发生在新疆的两次中强地震进行反演,结果令人满意。氡观测台站数量少、分布不均匀造成该方法预测结果具有局限性;在异常点多、布局合理的情况下,该方法预测的发震地点和震级范围具有一定的参考价值。The observed Radon anomaly may used to forecast the location and magnitude of the earthquake. Inversion of two strong earthquakes in Xinjiang are studied by this forecast method based on the observed Radon anomaly in new 15 and 43 spring water. The re sults is satisfied. The forecasting results are limited by small number of Radon observation stations and nonuniform distribution. In the case of many abnormal points and reasonable layout, the earthquake location and magnitude range predicted by this method has a certain reference value.

关 键 词：新15泉 新43泉 氡观测 预测方法 反演实例 

分 类 号：P315.724[天文地球—地震学]