后阿富汗战争时期的美国中亚外交展望(英文)  

US Central Asia Diplomacy in the Post-Afghanistan War Era

作　　者：Zhao Huasheng 

机构地区：[1]Center for Russia and Central Asia Studies, Fudan University

出　　处：《国际问题研究》2014年第2期79-95,144-145,共17页International Studies

摘　　要：American academia has three viewpoints regarding American policy in American in Central Asia in the post-Afghanistan era, or three choices facing America: a comprehensive entry, limited intervention or phasing out. Of these a these three options, the limited intervention is the most possible one from the perspective of strategic priorities, resources allocations as well as realistic possibility. This involves the breadth and depth of the intervention.During the past 13 years,the war in Afghanistan has dominated the U.S.Central Asia policy.After the U.S.withdrawal from Afghanistan,the structure of the U.S.interests in Central Asia will change because the war in Afghanistan will no longer be the dominant factor in U.S.policy in Central Asia.Central Asia's role in U.S.foreign policy will decrease,and the U.S.'s concern for Central Asia will subsequently be reduced.The position of the U.S.in Central Asia will decline,but its freedom of policy choice will be increased.Russia and China's influence will rise,and the geopolitical importance of Central Asia will return to the main focus of American policy.The competition between the world powere will change to a new form.The U.S.will continue to promote the new 'silk road'strategy to continue to participate in the 'great game'in Central Asia,but there are different opinions regarding whether Russia or China will be the main opponent to the U.S.in the region.

关 键 词：美国中亚政策 阿富汗撤军 新丝绸之路战略 

分 类 号：D871.20[政治法律—政治学]