哈尔滨机场雷暴分析预报系统的研制及应用  

The Development and Application of the Harbin Airport Thunderstorm Analyzing and Forecasting System

作　　者：钟伟[1] 黄红兵[1] 赵凯[1] 庞双双[1] 

机构地区：[1]民航东北空管局黑龙江分局气象台,黑龙江哈尔滨150079

出　　处：《计算技术与自动化》2014年第1期106-110,共5页Computing Technology and Automation

摘　　要：作者充分利用现有气象设备,采用多种高级编程语言,研制哈尔滨机场雷暴分析预报系统,其中利用现有气象信息网资源,实现初始数据自动读取和综合分析处理;采用相似分析技术,实现雷暴天气形势的自动相似判别;利用天气学方法和数理统计法,建立集成分析预报模式,实现0-24h雷暴概率短期预报;基于天气雷达回波,采用交叉相关算法,实现0-1h强对流临近预报预警。经应用表明,该系统运行及预报预警情况均达到了预期效果。The study of the Harbin Airport Thunderstorm Analyzing and Forecasting System made full use of the exist-ing meteorological equipments and a variety of high-level programming languages,for example：it can reading and analyzing the initial data automatically by using the meteorological information network,discriminating the thunderstorm weather situ-ation automatically by using the analog discriminatory analysis method,issuing the 0-24h thunderstorm probability predic-tion which weights the established weather forecast model by using the synoptic forecasting and mathematical statistics meth-od,issuing the 0-1h thunderstorm nowcasting and warning by using the cross-correlation method based on weather radar echoes.The application shows that the system operation and nowcasing and warning are achieved the desired effect.

关 键 词：雷暴 预报系统 相似判别 短期预报 临近预报 

分 类 号：TP39[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]