政府监督和农户决策:巩固退耕还林成果因素分析——基于24省2120户退耕农户的调查结果  

Government Supervision and Farm Household Decision-making: Analysis of the Consolidation of Results of Grain for Green Projects——Based on the Survey of 2120 Households from 24 Provinces

作　　者：谢晨[1] 黄东[2] 于慧[3] 袁梅[1] 彭伟[1] 彭道黎[4] 吴涛[4] 

机构地区：[1]国家林业局经济发展研究中心,北京100714 [2]国家林业局农村林业改革发展司,北京100714 [3]中国人民大学农业与农村发展学院,北京100872 [4]北京林业大学林学院,北京100083

出　　处：《林业经济》2014年第3期9-15,共7页Forestry Economics

摘　　要：在传统的农户生产决策中,政府监督的作用被忽视。承担退耕还林任务的农户是否仍然服从收益最大化原则,政府监督在巩固退耕还林成果中是否有效?为回答此问题,文章从理论上推导出巩固退耕还林的3种生态产出,并用全国24省2120个退耕农户的调查数据,采用多元Logit模型,验证了政府监督和农户决策在巩固退耕还林中的作用。研究发现,政府监督有效,在巩固退耕还林成果、获得退耕生态产出方面发挥显著作用;当政策激励与农户利益一致的情况下,遵循收入最大化原则退耕农户遵守退耕还林政策规定;贫困和少数民族退耕农户经营退耕林木有困难;农村劳动力和土地资源禀赋影响退耕还林成果巩固。In traditional farm household production decision making, governance was neglected. CCFP farmers still follow principle of profit maximization？ Does CCFP governance effective in solid CCFP achievement？ To address this issue, the paper points out 3 types of ecological outputs in theory. By using 2120 CCFP household survey data from 24 provinces and running ordered Logit model, the paper tests government and farmers＇ role in CCFP. It was found that governance has been effective in solid CCFP achievements and providing ecological outcomes; profit maximization households will follow CCFP regulations when policy incentive accord with households＇ benefits; poor and ethnic farmers face more difficulties in CCFP management; rural labor shortage as well as low farmland endowment impact CCFP targets.

关 键 词：退耕还林 政府监督 农户生产决策 LOGIT模型 巩固退耕还林成果 

分 类 号：F326.23[经济管理—产业经济]