产业技术进步与农村劳动力转移的动态影响关系研究  

Dynamic Linkages and Influences between Technological Progress of Industries and Transfer of Rural Labor

作　　者：佟光霁[1] 王卫[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北林业大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150040

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2014年第4期68-73,共6页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：国家软科学研究计划"中国农村劳动力转移的制度完善研究"(2010GXQ5D329);教育部博士点基金项目"农业现代化进程中的职业农民培育研究"(20120062110004)

摘　　要：农村劳动力转移作为资源重新配置的过程,不但受制于产业技术进步,也会影响产业技术进步。通过建立计量经济模型,实证分析1978—2011年三次产业技术进步与农村劳动力转移之间的动态影响关系。结果表明,第一产业和第三产业技术进步与农村劳动力转移之间存在长期显著相关关系,而第二产业技术进步与农村劳动力之间并不存在显著相关关系。根据这一实证结论,提出保证农村劳动力在各产业之间顺利转移的对策建议。As a process of resource reallocation, transfer of rural labor is subject to industrial technological progress, and it also affects industrial technological progress simultaneously. Through establishing an econometric method, this paper has practically analyzed the dynamic effect relationship between technological progress of three industries and transfer of rural labor from 1978 to 2011. The result in- dicates that there has been long-term and significant correlation between technology progress of primary and tertiary industries and trans- fer of rural labor; however, there is no significant correlation between technology progress of secondary industry and transfer of rural la- bor. According to the empirical conclusion, mong the various industries. this paper proposes countermeasures and suggestions to ensure smooth rural labor transfer a-

关 键 词：技术进步 农村劳动力转移 动态影响 脉冲响应函数 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济]