中国高校R&D投入与经济发展动态关系研究  

Study of Dynamic Relationship between Universities' R&D and Economic Development of China

作　　者：张海英[1,2] 周志刚[1] 朱迎春[3] 

机构地区：[1]天津大学管理与经济学部,天津300072 [2]沧州师范学院,河北沧州061001 [3]中国科学技术发展战略研究院,北京100038

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2014年第4期118-122,共5页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：河北省高等教育科学重点课题"高等教育促进区域经济发展的策略研究"(GJXHZ2013-4)

摘　　要：基于1999—2011年中国31个省区的高校R&D投入、GDP、产业结构变动等变量面板数据,采用PVAR模型、脉冲响应函数以及方差分解技术,考察高校创新与经济增长、产业结构变动之间的关系和动态变化规律。实证结果表明:我国高校研发投入与产业结构变化之间未形成面板协整关系,而与GDP之间存在协整关系;短期看,前期经济增长显著促进了当期高校R&D投入,具有同向作用,但前期高校R&D投入未能有效促进当期经济增长,具有负向作用;长远看,高校R&D投入与GDP之间的方差贡献率均较大。We apply panel VAR approach, methods of impulse-response functions and variance decomposition to analyze the dynamic relationship between universities＇ R＆D behavior and economic development from the statistical data of universities＇s R＆D （URD） ex- penditure, economic growth and the ratio of tertiary industry over the period of 1999--2011. The main conclusions are as follows： There is interaction between URD and GDP, but not between URD and industrial restructure; In the short term, previous GDP growth significantly promoted current URD input by positive effect while previous URD input failed to promote GDP by negative effect; In the long run, variance contribution between URD input and GDP were both high.

关 键 词：高校R&D 经济增长 产业结构 PVAR 

分 类 号：F224.9[经济管理—国民经济]