突发大规模疫情对经济的影响分析  

Economic impact analysis of emerging large-scale epidemic

作　　者：张文斗[1] 祖正虎[1] 许晴[1] 徐致靖[1] 刘巾杰 郑涛[1] 

机构地区：[1]军事医学科学院生物工程研究所,北京100071

出　　处：《军事医学》2014年第2期124-128,共5页Military Medical Sciences

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(90924019);"艾滋病和病毒性肝炎等重大传染病防治"国家科技重大专项资助项目(2013ZX10004605;2012ZX10004402);全军医学科技"十二五"科研项目(AWS11L009)

摘　　要：突发大规模疫情不仅会造成重大人员伤亡,还会给经济带来巨大的冲击。该文分析了突发大规模疫情的特点及其影响经济的途径。从微观、供需和宏观3个层面分析突发大规模疫情造成的经济损失和对国民经济发展的影响,以及各个层面之间的关联关系。相关研究对进一步构建合适的经济学模型分析计算突发大规模疫情对经济造成的损失,并有针对性地制定最具效费比的应对措施具有重要意义。Emerging large-scale epidemics not only cause heavy casualties, but have a huge impact on economy. This paper analyzes the characteristics and manners of the economic impact of emerging large-scale epidemics. Economic losses and the national economic impact of emerging large-scale epidemics are analyzed at three levels ： microscopic, supply and demand, and macroscopic. Then the relationship between the these levels is discussed. This research is expected to play an important role in the construction of an appropriate economic model for analysis and calculation of economic losses of emerging large-scale epidemics, and in the formulation of the best cost-effective ratio for preventin and control measures against emerging large-scale epidemics.

关 键 词：突发大规模疫情 经济影响 损失评估 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济] R183[医药卫生—流行病学]