层次分析法在水资源短缺评价中的应用  

AHP Assesment Model Application in Water Shortage

作　　者：崔小红[1] 王缔[1] 祖培福[1] 金玉苹[1] 赵宝江[1] 许宏文[1] 

机构地区：[1]牡丹江师范学院数学系,黑龙江牡丹江157012

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2014年第6期270-273,共4页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：黑龙江省教育厅面上项目(12531725);牡丹江师范学院省级重点创新预研项目(SY201321)

摘　　要：以辽宁省水资源为研究对象,选取水资源短缺的承灾体的暴露性、脆弱性、致灾因子危险性、可恢复性为评价因子,并进一步将其划分为12个指标,作为层次分析(AHP)的子准则层,将风险等级划分为三个阶段.应用层次分析模型对辽宁省水资源短缺风险进行综合评价.结果表明辽宁省水资源处于高风险阶段,属于严重缺水.The paper as Liaoning province＇s water for example adopts water shortage＇s hazard, exposure, vulnerability and recovery capability as assesment indexs. Furthermore departs into twelve indexs as AHP＇s son-criteria level and departs risk level into there stages. The paper presents AHP method to assess Liaoning province＇s water risk shortage. The resort displays that Liaoning province＇s water risk shortage is in high risk level, that is to say is serious warter shortage.

关 键 词：层次分析模型 短缺风险 综合评价 水资源 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]