行业碳排放的测算及影响因素分析——以10个国家对华反倾销涉案为例  

Carbon Emissions Measure and Influencing Factors Involved in the Anti-Dumping Industry from Ten Countries

作　　者：刘爱东[1] 刘文静[1] 曾辉祥[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南大学商学院,中国湖南长沙410083

出　　处：《经济地理》2014年第3期127-135,共9页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71272068);教育部人文社会科学规划项目(11YJA630058);国家社会科学基金青年项目(13CGL035);教育部2013年度高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金项目(20130162110074)

摘　　要：采用IPCC关于碳排放的测算方法,聚焦十国对华反倾销的涉案产品及涉案行业,测算了1995—2011年间我国遭受反倾销调查最多的8个制造业分行业的碳排放量,结果显示反倾销涉案行业碳排放量和被诉倾销案件数量之间存在一致的态势走向。接着,通过计量回归模型分析了碳排放量与能源效率、产业结构系数及人均制造业增加值之间的关系。分析发现:人均制造业增加值是制造业碳排放的主要促进因素,而产业结构系数和能源效率对碳排放的抑制作用并不明显。由此,提出了制造业的产业结构优化升级战略,以期通过降低碳排放的途径,为我国出口企业产业结构的优化升级以更好应对国外反倾销提供普适性对策。This article calculates the industry carbon emissions involved in anti-dumping investigations by the 1PCC meth- od, based on eight manufacturing sub-sector carbon emissions from ten countries which involved most in anti-dumping be- tween 1995 - 2011. The result shows： the export products subject to foreign anti-dumping and carbon emissions exist the consistent tren＆ Then,we analyze the relationship between carbon emissions, energy efficiency, industrial structure factor and the manufacturing value added per capita through the metering regression model, the analysis found： manufacturing value added per capita is the major contributing factor of carbon emissions in manufacturing, but the industrial structure and energy efficiency factor inhibition on carbon emissions is not obvious. Thus ,the article presents the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure manufacturing strategies, with which measure, we could reduce carbon emissions, as well as give a better respond to foreign anti-dumping measures to provide universal.

关 键 词：反倾销涉案行业 碳排放 影响因素 产业结构 优化升级战略 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]