不同发展阶段国家能源消费与经济增长实证研究  

Empirical Research on Energy Consumption and Economic Growth of the Countries in Different Development Stages

作　　者：李潇潇[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院研究生院,北京102488

出　　处：《河南工程学院学报（社会科学版）》2014年第1期13-19,共7页Journal of Henan University of Engineering(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家重点基础研究发展计划(2012CB955801)

摘　　要：探讨不同发展阶段国家能源的消费量和经济增长的长期均衡关系,可根据柯布—道格拉斯生产函数的变形,运用ARDL边界测试和向量误差修正模型进行分析,验证各国可再生能源、不可再生能源和经济增长之间的协整关系,结果显示:各国的能源消费不同程度地促进经济增长;能源消费对发达国家的影响小于发展中国家;发展中国家的经济增长对能源消费的依赖性更强;各国在促进经济增长的同时,都应鼓励和加大可再生能源的消费,节约和减少不可再生能源的消费;经济增长对可再生能源消费的冲击作用尤为明显,长期稳定的可再生能源发展也可以提高经济增长水平,促进经济社会可持续发展。This study investigated the long-run equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in different development stages of countries. According to the deformation of the Cobb-Douglas production function, using the ARDL boundary test and vector error correction model （ VECM）, the paper analyzed and tested the cointegration relationship between renewable and non-renewable energy and economic growth in various countries. The results show that energy consumption of the countries can promote economic growth to different extents. Influence of energy consumption in the developed countries is less than that in the developing countries. Economic growth in the developing countries is more dependent on energy consumption than that in the developed countries. While the different countries promote economic growth, they should encourage and increase the consumption of renewable energy and save and reduce the consumption of non-renewable energy. The impact of economic growth on renewable energy consumption is remarkably significant. The long-term steady development of renewable energy can also increase the level of economic growth and promote sustainable development of economic society.

关 键 词：能源消费 经济增长 向量误差修正模型 

分 类 号：F061.2[经济管理—政治经济学]