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机构地区:[1]新疆财经大学经济学院
出 处:《企业经济》2014年第4期137-142,共6页Enterprise Economy
基 金:国家社科基金西部项目"未来十年中国中亚区域经济合作及新疆的地位和作用研究"(批准号:13XGJ011);新疆维吾尔自治区研究生教育创新计划科研项目"动态要素禀赋视角下的新疆制造业升级研究"(批准号:XJGRI2013139);新疆财经大学校级科研基金支持项目"要素禀赋视角下的新疆制造业升级研究"
摘 要:本文以新结构经济学理论为基础,根据新疆1998-2012年数据,把制造业28个行业分为8大类,以各类行业产值占总制造业产值的比重作为制造业升级测度指标及因变量,以衡量地区是否违背比较优势战略的测度指标TCI指数作为解释变量,选取出口规模、社会固定资产投资、政府干预程度、科研状况等可能对新疆制造业发展产生影响的主要经济变量作为控制变量,分析新疆制造业升级存在的问题及发展缓慢的根本原因。结果发现,TCI对石油加工及炼焦业的影响为正,其他行业为负数,说明新疆长期忽视自身比较优势提升,而选择优先发展资源依赖型产业,导致制造业升级"困境",也验证了所谓的"资源诅咒"。Based on the new structural economics, according to the Xinjiang 1998 -2012 year data, this paper divides the manufac- turing sector into eight categories, uses the proportion of the output values of various industries accounting for the output of the total manufacturing sector as an indicator and a dependent variable of manufacturing upgrades to measure whether TCI index can be used as an explanatory variable, and then selects export scale, fixed asset investment, government intervention, re- search and manufacturing conditions, which may affect the development of Xinjiang, as control variables to analyze the problems and causes of manufacturing upgrades and slow development of Xinjiang. The results show that TCI has a positive impact on oil processing and coking industry and a negative impact on other industries, indicating that the long - term neglect of comparative advantages of Xinjiang but the priority of the choice of developing resource - dependent industries leads to the dilemma of manufacturing upgrades, which also verifies the so - called resource curse.
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