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机构地区:[1]中国计量学院,杭州310018 [2]浙江大学中国农村发展研究院,杭州310058
出 处:《农业经济问题》2014年第3期19-24,110,共6页Issues in Agricultural Economy
基 金:国家自然科学基金项目(编号:71073137);教育部人文社科研究项目(编号:10YJC790389);浙江省哲学社会科学规划重点项目(编号:11YD04Z)
摘 要:本文运用有序多分类Logistic回归分析法对不同兼业程度农户的土地流转意愿及其影响因素予以实证分析。结果表明,不同兼业程度农户土地流转意愿存在显著差异,纯农户流入意愿和二兼农户流出意愿相对较强;户主年龄和社会养老保险是影响兼业农户土地流转意愿的决定性因素,其并没有因兼业水平不同而表现差异;农业生产服务体系在一定程度上降低了兼业农户土地流转意愿,但不同兼业程度农户注重的服务项目有所差异;家庭土地经营规模和被雇务农收入对纯农户流转意愿具有一定影响,而兼业用工量所占比重则对一兼农户意愿影响显著;影响二兼农户流转意愿的因素相对较多,主要包括婚姻、农用固定资产存量、年生活开销、土地流转制度规定及被雇务农收入。Methods of poly-taxonomy logistic regression are employed to analyze farmers' willingness of land transfer and its influencing factors under different levels of concurrent business. The results indicate that farmers' land transfer willingness has significant difference under different levels of concurrent business. The pure farmers' willingness of inflow and the second part-time farmers' of outflow are relatively strong. Through empirical analyses,following conclusions have been drawn. Householder age and social endowment insurance are decisive factors influencing part-time farmers' willingness. Agricultural production service system depresses part-time farmers' willingness. Land scale and hired farm income have a certain influence on pure farmers' willingness. Concurrent business proportion of amount of work influences the first part-time farmers' willingness. Influencing factors on the second part-time farmer's willingness are relatively more,including marriage,agricultural fixed assets,annual cost of living,land transfer regulations and hired farm income.
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